Dungeon World Dice Statistics

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Dungeon World Dice Statistics
« on: June 06, 2012, 07:30:41 AM »
Well actually they're about any 2d6±3 game. I like this kind of tables—they help you understand more clearly how and why the dice work—and thanks to anydice.com I put together the numbers.

Code: [Select]
Mod. 6- 7-9 10+
-3 ~83.34% ~16.67%
-2 ~72.23% ~25% ~2.78%
-1 ~58.34% ~33.33% ~8.34%
±0 ~41.67% ~41.67% ~16.67%
+1 ~27.78% ~44.45% ~27.78%
+2 ~16.67% ~41.67% ~41.67%
+3 ~8.34% ~33.33% ~58.34%

edit: corrected the embarassing +2.54 error on the first 6- rows :P
« Last Edit: June 06, 2012, 01:44:45 PM by (not that) adam »
Oh, the things we tell ourselves to feel better about the long, dark nights.

Re: Dungeon World Dice Statistics
« Reply #1 on: June 06, 2012, 10:23:12 AM »
That sweet, sweet +1 is right where you want to be.  +2 if you're scared of your GM, I guess.

Re: Dungeon World Dice Statistics
« Reply #2 on: June 06, 2012, 10:01:45 PM »
What I really like is that I can't do the probability in my head during the game, but now I can't unsee your table! ;)

I also like that the chance of partial stays high across the main rolling zone.

For me these two are part of the genius of the original AW design that's flowed through to DW.

Re: Dungeon World Dice Statistics
« Reply #3 on: June 06, 2012, 11:20:30 PM »
Similarly,  once I made a Lady Blackbird table - I couldn't unsee it either.  Game changer but not game breaker.

Re: Dungeon World Dice Statistics
« Reply #4 on: June 07, 2012, 09:41:46 PM »
I would have edited the first post, but I'm not allowed to do it :(

I went deeper and summed up the chances for a hit no matter if strong or weak, and the chances to have a 12+.

Code: [Select]
Mod. 6- 7+ 7-9 10+ 10-11 12+
-3 ~83.34% ~16.67% ~16.67%
-2 ~72.23% ~27.78% ~25% ~2.78% ~2.78%
-1 ~58.34% ~41.67% ~33.33% ~8.34% ~8.34%
±0 ~41.67% ~58.33% ~41.67% ~16.67% ~13.89% ~2.78%
+1 ~27.78% ~72.22% ~44.45% ~27.78% ~19.44% ~8.34%
+2 ~16.67% ~83.33% ~41.67% ~41.67% ~25% ~16.67%
+3 ~8.34% ~91.67% ~33.33% ~58.34% ~30.56% ~27.78%
Oh, the things we tell ourselves to feel better about the long, dark nights.

Re: Dungeon World Dice Statistics
« Reply #5 on: June 07, 2012, 09:47:54 PM »
It burns! Ah! I can't unsee it!

(Nice work.)